On the proper way of looking into the future

The Basis on how science looks into the future is history. History provides us with a nearly infinite number of facts which we can examine and from that build a model of the future. Moore's Law is a very good example of this. After 20 years in the computer chip industry, Moore realized that every year, the rate at which size decreased and power increased actually accelerated, thus making the progress exponential. Exponantial progress is a cruicial thing when evaluating facts from the past, because it is hard to distinguish it from linear progress when looking at timescales too small and early in the curve. Recent research has shown that basically every progress we humans made is exponential. It is the nature of technology to grow in such a way, because 'inventions' support each other in many various ways.

Notice how the green curve is indistinguishable from a linear one in the very beginning.

We now are at the so called 'knee point' of the exponantial curve, where, seemingly out of nowhere technical progress is made a matter of years, not generations or centuries. This is the most critical point in human development, because in this time the chance of 'accidentaly' wiping ourselves out is the greatest.

But now is also a time of wonders no man has ever seen before. Just take a look at the smartphone in your pocket. The possibilities of this machine are colossal compared to ALL computers on earth in 1960 TOGETHER. One should never cease to marvel at the things everyone takes for granted.

So based on these 'simple' observastions a conclusion jumps to mind. The next 30 years will hold more technological progress than the last 60. It is possible, that the first AGIs (Artificial General Intelligence) will emerge and that our aging process will stop to a grinding halt.
Be on the lookout and make your plans.

Mind Will Overcome - The Beginning

Here we are for the first contribution to the Mind Will Overcome Blog.
In the near future this will be a platform to inform your puny human self on the
progress our species is making in the humble task of turning ever single particle of the universe into a thoughtful hypercomputer with which we will live and be joyful
for a very real eternity.

Gather 'round me as I will guide you through the long way to actual immortality.
I will tell you of our very present feats, of our incredible past ones and of the ones that will inevitably follow.

A litte overview of the topics discussed here:

• Genetic Engineering
• Nanosciences
• AI research / Robotics
• Cosmology
• Space Colonization
• Alternative Economies

This will also be a place to communicate with other humans interested in the scientific exploration of the future and it's implications. Discuss Away!